by Calculated Risk on 3/31/2022 09:07:00 PM
A few brief excerpts from a note by Goldman Sachs economist Spencer Hill:
o At 8:30 AM ET, Employment Report for March. The consensus is for 475,000 jobs added, and for the unemployment rate to decrease to 3.7%.
o At 10:00 AM, ISM Manufacturing Index for March. The consensus is for the ISM to be at 58.6, unchanged from 58.6 in February.
o At 10:00 AM, Construction Spending for February. The consensus is for a 0.9% increase in construction spending.
o All Day, Light vehicle sales for March. The consensus is for light vehicle sales to be 14.1 million SAAR in March, unchanged from 14.1 million in February (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate).
On COVID (focus on hospitalizations and deaths):
AgoGoalPercent fully Vaccinated65.6%—>=70.0%1Fully Vaccinated (millions)217.6—>=2321New Cases per Day325,73226,518<=5,0002Hospitalized312,24315,482<=3,0002Deaths per Day3626732<=5021 Minimum to achieve “herd immunity” (estimated between 70% and 85%).
2my goals to stop daily posts,
37-day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Increasing 7-day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Goal met.
This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7-day average (line) of deaths reported.New cases, hospitalizations and deaths are declining.