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Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims

by Calculated Risk on 4/13/2022 09:46:00 PM

o At 8:30 AM ET, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for a increase to 175 thousand from 166 thousand last week.

o At 8:30 AM, Retail sales for March is scheduled to be released. The consensus is for a 0.6% increase in retail sales.

o At 10:00 AM, University of Michigan’s Consumer sentiment index (Preliminary for April).

On COVID (focus on hospitalizations and deaths):

COVID MetricsNowWeek
AgoGoalPercent fully Vaccinated65.8%—>=70.0%1Fully Vaccinated (millions)218.5—>=2321New Cases per Day3?29,40126,563<=5,0002Hospitalized39,67410,590<=3,0002Deaths per Day3452517<=5021 Minimum to achieve “herd immunity” (estimated between 70% and 85%).
2my goals to stop daily posts,
37-day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Increasing 7-day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths

? Goal met.

Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7-day average (line) of deaths reported.Hospitalizations and deaths are declining.

New cases are increasing.

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